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Not so long ago,
November of 2005 to be exact, we stated here that the value of
all the gold ever mined in the world since the beginning of
human history was some $1.89 trillion dollars. At the time, that
number was fairly accurate, given our round estimate of some
140,000 tonnes extant of the shiny yellow stuff, and the
then-prevailing spot price.
But since that time, a lot has happened to the dollar/gold
equation.
In February of this year, when it took about six hundred and
fifty dollars to buy an ounce of gold, we reported that the US
federal budget for 2007 was almost exactly the same dollar
figure as the value of AGIW (all the gold ever mined in the
world since the beginning of human history). By this time, AGIW
had swelled in value to approximately $2.95 trillion
(2,950,000,000,000 US dollars).
But today, with gold costing about $100/ounce more than it did
eight months ago, the value of all the gold ever mined in the
world since the beginning of human history has now grown to
$3.35 trillion.
Call it a gold rally, a dollar slump, or both. Did gold go up,
or did the dollar go down?
If we look at it strictly as a gold rally, then it can be said
that the past 23 months have enriched the value of all the
world’s gold holdings by some $1.46 trillion (that’s
1,460,000,000,000 US dollars). If you still own gold today that
you've had since February of 2005, then congratulations on your
share of the winnings!
On the other hand, it can also be said that US dollars holders
have been robbed, in less than two years, of $1.46 trillion,
measured by the most time-honored monetary constant in the
world, gold. So if you still own today some of the dollars that
you owned in February of 2005, then you shared in the very big
haircut that all owners of US dollars have suffered over the
past two years.
Which brings us to the big point, which is that the actions of
our government, in its infinite powers and finite wisdom, define
what our money is worth. We would all be better off realizing
that the dollar is a necessary transactional medium, but not a
very good store of value. It’s best to think of dollars as
equivalent to frequent flyer miles, subject to degradation and
rule changes by the arbitrary fiat of its issuer, whether
Washington DC or the marketing and promotional team at your
favorite airline.
SO IN THE INTEREST OF FUN AND ACCURACY, we are considering
adding a page to this website, giving the world daily updates on
the value, stated in US dollars, of all the gold ever mined in
the world since the beginning of human history. It wouldn’t be
much of a task for our database-proficient webmaster. Simply
start with a defensible number for the amount of gold ever mined
in the world since the beginning of human history (138,000
metric tonnes works for me), periodically add the annual mine
production number (currently about 2,500 tonnes per year), run a
continuous gold spot price update, and there you have it.
Please forward any suggestions that you might have on this Big
Number project.
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