|
In case there are any doubters left, we are officially in a gold
bull market, now in its seventh year. Of course, when prices
broke through the $1,000 level the bull was pretty obvious. that
was the point at which gold finally came to the attention of the
masses of Americans who, from generation to generation, normally
don’t pay attention to such things.
I won’t here reveal all the details (I’m saving the juiciest
bits for the book “My Life as A Gold Merchant,” which will be
written and, no doubt, vanity-published after I have retired)
but the word about gold is definitely in the air. Both our sales
and purchase volumes are up tremendously, not only from this
website, but at our humble little store in Phoenix. For
instance, in the first fifteen business days in January of this
year, we did more dollar volume of business than we did in the
entire calendar year 1995.
The activity that we are seeing is basically one group of people
purchasing precious metals as a hedge against the declining
dollar, and another line of people selling their unwanted gold
jewelry (If we throw just one more Realtor sales award pin into
the melting pot, I’m just going to cry.)
Both of those groups are properly acting in their own best
interests. If you have old gold sitting unused in a drawer
somewhere, by all means you should take advantage of today’s
prices and cash it out.
As for gold purchasers, there is no end to the reasons to buy at
this time. But they all boil down to this: gold is mined very
slowly, but dollars are created at warp speed.
Witness the past few weeks of massive monetary creation as the
Fed and Treasury pour out hundreds of billions in ‘loans,’
accepting as ‘collateral’ the famously non-performing assets
known as securitized mortgage bonds and other derived financial
trash.
Take the controversial bailout of Bear Sterns, which will put
the Treasury (read: you and me) on the hook for some $29
billion. Assuming that there are 100 million US taxpayers, each
of us is out about $290.00, either in increased taxes, or more
likely, further inflation of the dollar.
But don’t write that check for $290.00 yet, because there’s more
- the total taxpayer tab for the past four weeks’ injections of
liquidity ($200 billion here, $75 billion there, and a newly
invented Fed vehicle with which to dispense those funds) looks
to easily be several grand from each of us.
Of course, the good news for taxpayers and dollar-holders is
that it’s really just some loans that we’re taking over, and not
just an act of charity towards the banks. And all of those loans
are fully collateralized by securitized mortgage bonds and other
professionally bundled nuggets of risk.
Sure, the same financial effluvia was totally unsalable a couple
of weeks ago, when it was stigmatized with the label
‘nonperforming assets.’ But to avoid being so harsh and
judgmental, let’s call them ‘late-blooming assets,’ destined to
perform, uh, someday. Probably the same day that their
underlying 3BR, 2BAs out in Nowheresville are worth a million
bucks or so.
But wait, there’s more! Friday 3/31/08 saw the announcement of a
proposed complete reorganization of the US financial and
monetary regulatory system, consolidating and swelling the
Federal Reserve’s powers.
This scheme brings to mind the hasty consolidation of powers
under the Homeland Security Agency, post 9-11. And we all know
how well that has worked out. So the pattern is this: when an
emergency arises out of the blue, the US government builds a new
bureaucratic mega- structure to deal with it. The question comes
to mind: Is there any possible emergency that will not be met
with federal empire-building?
But don’t get me started. The simple point that I’m trying to
make is the same one we have repeated in this space for eight
years running: only gold will protect you from the dollar
sinking into the sunset. At the start of the year 2000, such an
event looked highly unlikely. Today, although the dollar remains
one of the most viable currencies in the world, that’s just a
shadow of its position eight years ago. The dollar is simply no
longer the world champion it once was.
So while gold prices are currently in a correction phase, think
about your wealth and exactly what forms it takes today.
Consider also that over the past eight years, not just the
dollar, but every currency in the world has lost value in
relation to gold. This is no surprise to those who have studied
the rise and fall of fiat currencies in history.
Currencies will come and go, while gold is a permanent store of
wealth. So what are you going to do so that you can sleep better
at night?
|